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Wood One Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026

1 Day

5,677.14

increased by 4,698.92

1 Week

2,243.64

increased by 1,265.42

1 Month

1,367.04

increased by 388.82

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 07:20 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Wood One Co Ltd ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 1, 1992 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 91% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.1216
14.00***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0802
30.03***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8833
521.44***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0730
15.87***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

1386294 days