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V-Lab

Yamadai Corp Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

1,155.05

increased by 57.05

1 Week

1,112.59

increased by 14.59

1 Month

1,523.64

increased by 425.64

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 03:52 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Yamadai Corp ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 6, 1995 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.996, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 160 trading days (~0.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.5431
3.18***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1049
12.71***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8908
102.64***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=5
γ1-0.2087
-3.25***
γ20.1663
1.77*
γ30.2191
2.47**
γ4-0.4007
-3.97***
γ50.4458
3.95***

Persistence:

0.996

Half-life:

160 days