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V-Lab

Yamadai Corp Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026

1 Day

1,253.41

decreased by 93.90

1 Week

1,400.38

increased by 53.07

1 Month

2,150.24

increased by 802.93

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 19, 2026 at 02:03 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Yamadai Corp ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 6, 1995 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.996, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 157 trading days (~0.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.5386
3.18***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1044
12.74***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8912
103.12***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=5
γ1-0.2081
-3.26***
γ20.1651
1.76*
γ30.2208
2.48**
γ4-0.4038
-3.99***
γ50.4585
3.93***

Persistence:

0.996

Half-life:

157 days