Yamadai Corp ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026
1 Day
453.84
1 Week
640.39
1 Month
2,858.22
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 19, 2026 at 02:02 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 6, 1995 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1495 | 0.01 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5699 | 1.83* |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1495 | 0.00 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.01 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.2264 | 0.01 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.7736 | 0.39 |
Persistence:
0.645
Half-life:
2 days
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