V-Lab
Yamadai Corp ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
926.71
1 Week
893.42
1 Month
1,404.17
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 03:51 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 6, 1995 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.995, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 144 trading days (~0.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1060 | 7.88*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9012 | 542.21*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0240 | -0.94 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.01 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9994 | 965.60*** |
Persistence:
0.995
Half-life:
144 days
Other Yamadai Corp Analyses
Other ILLIQ-MFMEM Analyses on International Equities