Dkk Toa Corp Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 22nd, 2026
1 Day
4,905.03
increased by 2,981.16
1 Week
2,737.29
increased by 813.42
1 Month
2,773.05
increased by 849.18
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 22, 2026 at 07:35 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 5, 1992 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.997, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 209 trading days (~0.8 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0513 | 3.53*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1412 | 14.29*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8555 | 81.68*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=3
| γ1 | -0.0568 | -5.93*** |
| γ2 | 0.0682 | 4.67*** |
| γ3 | 0.0100 | 0.74 |
Persistence:
0.997
Half-life:
209 days
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