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Dkk Toa Corp Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Liquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 22nd, 2026

1 Day

3,421.91

increased by 1,485.55

1 Week

2,356.99

increased by 420.63

1 Month

2,634.07

increased by 697.71

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 22, 2026 at 07:35 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Dkk Toa Corp ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 5, 1992 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 95% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
5.90***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0742
23.36***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8904
505.90***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0708
13.82***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

1386294 days