Dkk Toa Corp ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 22nd, 2026
1 Day
5,367.16
1 Week
2,716.70
1 Month
2,494.96
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 22, 2026 at 07:35 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 5, 1992 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1451 trading days (~5.8 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 31 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1616 | 1.48 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7824 | 65.33*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1109 | 0.56 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.05 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.1024 | 2.53** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.8976 | 29.10*** |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
1451 days
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