V-Lab
Taiwan Auto-Design Co Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 7th, 2026
1 Day
9,185.49
increased by 3,699.92
1 Week
8,465.11
increased by 2,979.54
1 Month
6,035.72
increased by 550.15
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 08:40 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 10, 2021 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 14 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 14.3767 | 2.70*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3743 | 7.75*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5780 | 10.59*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=7
| γ1 | 14.7911 | 1.79* |
| γ2 | -52.1464 | -3.12*** |
| γ3 | 90.0457 | 5.19*** |
| γ4 | -79.1537 | -6.43*** |
| γ5 | 33.6361 | 7.27*** |
| γ6 | -10.4023 | -3.29*** |
| γ7 | 5.4074 | 0.97 |
Persistence:
0.952
Half-life:
14 days
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