V-Lab
Taiwan Auto-Design Co ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 7th, 2026
1 Day
9,063.28
1 Week
8,259.41
1 Month
5,374.40
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 08:40 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 10, 2021 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.4382 | 6.28*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6200 | 192.78*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.4382 | -3.69*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 7.92*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 10.00*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9439 | 647.85*** |
Persistence:
0.839
Half-life:
4 days
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