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TVE Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026

1 Day

502.67

decreased by 80.66

1 Week

487.15

decreased by 96.18

1 Month

422.96

decreased by 160.37

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 08:22 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of TVE Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 28, 2000 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 36 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.4882
4.97***
αARCH0.1595
11.97***
βGARCH0.8216
58.63***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=8
γ1-0.7830
-6.99***
γ21.1023
6.12***
γ3-0.1354
-1.04
γ4-0.3330
-2.98***
γ50.1919
1.57
γ6-0.1805
-1.40
γ70.2991
2.47**
γ8-0.5606
-4.06***

0.981

Persistence

36d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.4882
4.97***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1595
11.97***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8216
58.63***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=8
γ1-0.7830
-6.99***
γ21.1023
6.12***
γ3-0.1354
-1.04
γ4-0.3330
-2.98***
γ50.1919
1.57
γ6-0.1805
-1.40
γ70.2991
2.47**
γ8-0.5606
-4.06***

Persistence:

0.981

Half-life:

36 days