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V-Lab

TVE Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

405.25

increased by 80.44

1 Week

361.24

increased by 36.43

1 Month

473.35

increased by 148.54

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 03:27 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of TVE Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 28, 2000 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 36 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.4808
4.96***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1597
11.93***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8212
58.33***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=8
γ1-0.7860
-6.97***
γ21.0985
6.08***
γ3-0.1185
-0.92
γ4-0.3481
-3.11***
γ50.2015
1.65*
γ6-0.1898
-1.49
γ70.3056
2.63***
γ8-0.5458
-4.23***

Persistence:

0.981

Half-life:

36 days