V-Lab
TVE Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
490.47
1 Week
429.12
1 Month
525.50
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 03:25 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 28, 2000 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 31 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2010 | 0.87 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7225 | 33.44*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.2010 | -0.41 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 2.6379 | 1.62 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.1203 | 1.42 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.8797 | 15.68*** |
Persistence:
0.823
Half-life:
4 days
Other TVE Co Ltd Analyses
Other ILLIQ-MFMEM Analyses on International Equities