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V-Lab

Tokyo Auto Machine Works Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

6,465.88

increased by 1,465.79

1 Week

5,576.24

increased by 576.15

1 Month

3,844.40

decreased by 1,155.69

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 11:38 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Tokyo Auto Machine Works Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 2, 1992 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 41 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0953
4.20***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1086
10.85***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8746
77.06***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=7
γ10.2380
3.52***
γ2-0.4786
-4.93***
γ30.4575
7.78***
γ4-0.4511
-7.19***
γ50.4237
6.24***
γ6-0.3461
-5.13***
γ70.2785
2.04**

Persistence:

0.983

Half-life:

41 days