V-Lab
Tokyo Auto Machine Works Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
6,677.33
1 Week
5,775.85
1 Month
4,003.17
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 11:37 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 2, 1992 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 26 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1102 | 0.23 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8449 | 81.41*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1102 | -0.12 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.25 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0501 | 0.25 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9499 | 50.22*** |
Persistence:
0.900
Half-life:
7 days
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