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Nidec Chaun-Choung Techno Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, November 5th, 2026

1 Day

3,534.97

decreased by 648.56

1 Week

4,327.90

increased by 144.37

1 Month

3,370.97

decreased by 812.56

Analysis last updated: Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 09:55 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/04/2024

to

11/04/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Nidec Chaun-Choung Techno ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 3, 2003 to Nov 4, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.995, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 146 trading days (~0.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.995, shock half-life ~146 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst2.6609
5.55***
αARCH0.1977
20.30***
βGARCH0.7975
80.57***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0004
0.10

0.995

Persistence

146d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.6609
5.55***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1977
20.30***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7975
80.57***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0004
0.10

Persistence:

0.995

Half-life:

146 days