V-Lab
Nidec Chaun-Choung Techno Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, September 7th, 2026
1 Day
5,436.08
increased by 841.73
1 Week
4,069.41
decreased by 524.94
1 Month
3,566.70
decreased by 1,027.65
Analysis last updated: Sunday, September 6, 2026 at 01:38 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 3, 2003 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.995, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 146 trading days (~0.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
High persistence: persistence 0.995, shock half-life ~146 days
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 2.6656 | 5.54*** |
| αARCH | 0.1981 | 20.25*** |
| βGARCH | 0.7972 | 80.21*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.0004 | 0.09 |
0.995
Persistence146d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 2.6656 | 5.54*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1981 | 20.25*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7972 | 80.21*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.0004 | 0.09 |
Persistence:
0.995
Half-life:
146 days
Other Nidec Chaun-Choung Techno Analyses
Other Spline ILLIQ Analyses on International Equities