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Nidec Chaun-Choung Techno Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 7th, 2026

1 Day

2,636.85

increased by 111.03

1 Week

2,934.30

increased by 408.48

1 Month

3,340.15

increased by 814.33

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 08:21 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Nidec Chaun-Choung Techno ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 3, 2003 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.995, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 144 trading days (~0.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.6559
5.52***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1980
20.22***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7972
80.11***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0003
0.07

Persistence:

0.995

Half-life:

144 days