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Nidec Chaun-Choung Techno Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, October 6th, 2026

1 Day

3,171.00

increased by 226.79

1 Week

2,979.73

increased by 35.52

1 Month

3,689.04

increased by 744.83

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, October 6, 2026 at 08:19 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/05/2024

to

10/05/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Nidec Chaun-Choung Techno ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 3, 2003 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.995, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 145 trading days (~0.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.995, shock half-life ~145 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst2.6611
5.53***
αARCH0.1981
20.28***
βGARCH0.7972
80.35***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0004
0.09

0.995

Persistence

145d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.6611
5.53***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1981
20.28***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7972
80.35***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0004
0.09

Persistence:

0.995

Half-life:

145 days