V-Lab
Nidec Chaun-Choung Techno Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, August 13th, 2026
1 Day
2,078.13
decreased by 145.29
1 Week
2,389.51
increased by 166.09
1 Month
3,251.06
increased by 1,027.64
Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 13, 2026 at 09:01 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 3, 2003 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.995, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 143 trading days (~0.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 2.6520 | 5.52*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1979 | 20.22*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7973 | 80.14*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.0003 | 0.07 |
Persistence:
0.995
Half-life:
143 days
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