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V-Lab

Nidec Chaun-Choung Techno Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, August 13th, 2026

1 Day

2,078.13

decreased by 145.29

1 Week

2,389.51

increased by 166.09

1 Month

3,251.06

increased by 1,027.64

Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 13, 2026 at 09:01 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Nidec Chaun-Choung Techno ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 3, 2003 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.995, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 143 trading days (~0.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.6520
5.52***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1979
20.22***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7973
80.14***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0003
0.07

Persistence:

0.995

Half-life:

143 days