V-Lab
Nidec Chaun-Choung Techno Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 7th, 2026
1 Day
2,471.08
decreased by 174.92
1 Week
2,875.89
increased by 229.89
1 Month
3,481.77
increased by 835.77
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 08:21 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 3, 2003 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 354 trading days (~1.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 190% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.3581 | 9.42*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0846 | 17.35*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8328 | 396.00*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1612 | 18.96*** |
Persistence:
0.998
Half-life:
354 days
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