Nidec Chaun-Choung Techno Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, November 5th, 2026
1 Day
4,682.76
decreased by 643.50
1 Week
5,234.12
decreased by 92.14
1 Month
3,707.41
decreased by 1,618.85
Analysis last updated: Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 09:54 PM UTC
Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 3, 2003 to Nov 4, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 379 trading days (~1.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 187% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
High persistence: persistence 0.998, shock half-life ~379 daysAsymmetry: Illiquidity rises 187% more after negative returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.3443 | 2.35** |
| αARCH | 0.0854 | 4.37*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8329 | 99.20*** |
| γleverage | 0.1597 | 4.72*** |
0.998
Persistence379d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.3443 | 2.35** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0854 | 4.37*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8329 | 99.20*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1597 | 4.72*** |
Persistence:
0.998
Half-life:
379 days
Other Nidec Chaun-Choung Techno Analyses
Other Asymmetric ILLIQ Analyses on International Equities