Nidec Chaun-Choung Techno Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 8th, 2026
1 Day
2,764.06
increased by 833.15
1 Week
2,212.91
increased by 282.00
1 Month
2,037.34
increased by 106.43
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 8, 2026 at 11:17 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 3, 2003 to Jul 3, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 335 trading days (~1.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 190% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.3632 | 9.45*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0847 | 17.31*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8329 | 395.11*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1608 | 18.87*** |
Persistence:
0.998
Half-life:
335 days
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