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Nidec Chaun-Choung Techno Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 7th, 2026

1 Day

2,471.08

decreased by 174.92

1 Week

2,875.89

increased by 229.89

1 Month

3,481.77

increased by 835.77

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 08:21 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Nidec Chaun-Choung Techno ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 3, 2003 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 354 trading days (~1.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 190% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.3581
9.42***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0846
17.35***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8328
396.00***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1612
18.96***

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

354 days