V-Lab
Nidec Chaun-Choung Techno Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, September 7th, 2026
1 Day
5,245.37
decreased by 136.42
1 Week
4,353.89
decreased by 1,027.90
1 Month
3,900.33
decreased by 1,481.46
Analysis last updated: Sunday, September 6, 2026 at 01:35 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 3, 2003 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 393 trading days (~1.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 189% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
High persistence: persistence 0.998, shock half-life ~393 daysAsymmetry: Illiquidity rises 189% more after negative returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.3461 | 2.34** |
| αARCH | 0.0853 | 4.35*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8326 | 98.88*** |
| γleverage | 0.1607 | 4.73*** |
0.998
Persistence393d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.3461 | 2.34** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0853 | 4.35*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8326 | 98.88*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1607 | 4.73*** |
Persistence:
0.998
Half-life:
393 days
Other Nidec Chaun-Choung Techno Analyses
Other Asymmetric ILLIQ Analyses on International Equities