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Nidec Chaun-Choung Techno Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, October 6th, 2026

1 Day

2,901.79

decreased by 155.05

1 Week

3,075.68

increased by 18.84

1 Month

4,101.13

increased by 1,044.29

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, October 6, 2026 at 08:19 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/05/2024

to

10/05/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Nidec Chaun-Choung Techno ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 3, 2003 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 370 trading days (~1.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 187% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.998, shock half-life ~370 daysAsymmetry: Illiquidity rises 187% more after negative returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.3541
2.36**
αARCH0.0855
4.37***
βGARCH0.8326
98.98***
γleverage0.1601
4.72***

0.998

Persistence

370d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.3541
2.36**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0855
4.37***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8326
98.98***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1601
4.72***

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

370 days