Nidec Chaun-Choung Techno ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026
1 Day
4,197.29
1 Week
3,577.70
1 Month
2,734.47
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 19, 2026 at 03:44 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 3, 2003 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 81 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2008 | 3.27*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8014 | 217.41*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.2008 | -1.73* |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.5484 | 3.91*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.9734 | 3.76*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0166 | 0.78 |
Persistence:
0.902
Half-life:
7 days
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