V-Lab
Nidec Chaun-Choung Techno ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 7th, 2026
1 Day
2,813.43
1 Week
3,094.00
1 Month
3,537.54
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 08:21 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 3, 2003 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 81 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2006 | 3.29*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8016 | 215.82*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.2006 | -1.74* |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.5473 | 3.94*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.9739 | 3.78*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0163 | 0.78 |
Persistence:
0.902
Half-life:
7 days
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