V-Lab
Genesis Technology Inc (Twn) Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026
1 Day
8,442.10
increased by 3,507.52
1 Week
6,324.98
increased by 1,390.40
1 Month
4,880.40
decreased by 54.18
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 09:46 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 3, 2003 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 69314 trading days (~275.1 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.6980 | 0.08 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2082 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7918 | 0.01 |
Spline Coefficients
K=10
| γ1 | -2.2692 | -0.01 |
| γ2 | 1.6084 | 0.02 |
| γ3 | 2.0823 | 0.01 |
| γ4 | -1.6832 | 0.00 |
| γ5 | -0.0712 | 0.00 |
| γ6 | 0.5198 | 0.00 |
| γ7 | -0.8587 | -0.01 |
| γ8 | 1.7258 | 0.01 |
| γ9 | -1.9845 | -0.05 |
| γ10 | 1.7929 | 0.02 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
69314 days
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