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Genesis Technology Inc (Twn) Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026

1 Day

5,867.25

increased by 1,276.10

1 Week

5,107.68

increased by 516.53

1 Month

4,228.13

decreased by 363.02

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 09:46 PM UTC

Date Range:

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to

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graph of Genesis Technology Inc (Twn) ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 3, 2003 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 76% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
0.64
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0849
13.49***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8827
323.57***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0648
7.20***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

1386294 days