V-Lab
Genesis Technology Inc (Twn) ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026
1 Day
8,198.30
1 Week
6,191.95
1 Month
4,741.40
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 09:46 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 3, 2003 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 38 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 38 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1945 | 6.27*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8225 | 192.48*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0704 | -1.08 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.01 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9994 | 1,148.75*** |
Persistence:
0.982
Half-life:
38 days
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