V-Lab
Jiangsu Pacific Quartz Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026
1 Day
30.22
decreased by 7.13
1 Week
46.03
increased by 8.68
1 Month
50.16
increased by 12.81
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 12, 2026 at 06:27 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 31, 2014 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 7 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.8212 | 5.07*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2878 | 7.74*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6233 | 25.86*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=2
| γ1 | -0.0859 | -4.95*** |
| γ2 | 0.1382 | 5.38*** |
Persistence:
0.911
Half-life:
7 days
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