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Jiangsu Pacific Quartz Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026

1 Day

25.39

increased by 1.97

1 Week

22.65

decreased by 0.77

1 Month

30.35

increased by 6.93

Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 19, 2026 at 07:08 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Jiangsu Pacific Quartz Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 31, 2014 to Sep 18, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 14 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.2837
6.15***
αARCH0.2905
9.95***
βGARCH0.6605
30.95***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0164
-2.04**

0.951

Persistence

14d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.2837
6.15***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2905
9.95***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6605
30.95***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0164
-2.04**

Persistence:

0.951

Half-life:

14 days