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Jiangsu Pacific Quartz Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

58.02

decreased by 2.43

1 Week

73.07

increased by 12.62

1 Month

47.98

decreased by 12.47

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 10:27 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Jiangsu Pacific Quartz Co Ltd ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 31, 2014 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 156% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.2254
8.76***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1300
16.03***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7686
187.05***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2029
13.38***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-