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Liaoning SG Automotive Group Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, September 1st, 2026

1 Day

233.74

decreased by 92.06

1 Week

317.19

decreased by 8.61

1 Month

257.70

decreased by 68.10

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 1, 2026 at 06:20 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Liaoning SG Automotive Group Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 26, 2000 to Aug 28, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.992, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 85 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.2358
2.36**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3058
12.93***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6860
32.18***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=9
γ1-1.1371
-4.71***
γ22.7372
6.72***
γ3-3.2659
-8.15***
γ42.4774
3.71***
γ5-1.1298
-1.93*
γ60.5247
2.15**
γ7-0.0971
-0.46
γ8-0.2953
-1.06
γ90.1675
0.56

Persistence:

0.992

Half-life:

85 days