V-Lab
Liaoning SG Automotive Group Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, September 1st, 2026
1 Day
233.74
decreased by 92.06
1 Week
317.19
decreased by 8.61
1 Month
257.70
decreased by 68.10
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 1, 2026 at 06:20 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 26, 2000 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.992, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 85 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.2358 | 2.36** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3058 | 12.93*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6860 | 32.18*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=9
| γ1 | -1.1371 | -4.71*** |
| γ2 | 2.7372 | 6.72*** |
| γ3 | -3.2659 | -8.15*** |
| γ4 | 2.4774 | 3.71*** |
| γ5 | -1.1298 | -1.93* |
| γ6 | 0.5247 | 2.15** |
| γ7 | -0.0971 | -0.46 |
| γ8 | -0.2953 | -1.06 |
| γ9 | 0.1675 | 0.56 |
Persistence:
0.992
Half-life:
85 days
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