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Liaoning SG Automotive Group Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026

1 Day

257.34

increased by 9.49

1 Week

249.65

increased by 1.80

1 Month

293.69

increased by 45.84

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 06:12 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Liaoning SG Automotive Group Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 26, 2000 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 568 trading days (~2.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.999, shock half-life ~568 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.6751
2.84***
αARCH0.3160
16.85***
βGARCH0.6828
35.69***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=8
γ1-0.3592
-1.87*
γ21.1605
3.63***
γ3-2.6857
-9.16***
γ44.1321
5.07***
γ5-4.4325
-3.60***
γ64.4289
3.26***
γ7-3.5456
-3.42***
γ81.7486
3.30***

0.999

Persistence

568d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.6751
2.84***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3160
16.85***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6828
35.69***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=8
γ1-0.3592
-1.87*
γ21.1605
3.63***
γ3-2.6857
-9.16***
γ44.1321
5.07***
γ5-4.4325
-3.60***
γ64.4289
3.26***
γ7-3.5456
-3.42***
γ81.7486
3.30***

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

568 days