V-Lab
Liaoning SG Automotive Group Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, September 1st, 2026
1 Day
234.76
1 Week
324.30
1 Month
258.41
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 1, 2026 at 06:20 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 26, 2000 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.995, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 140 trading days (~0.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 36 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3251 | 14.73*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7003 | 50.08*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0606 | -1.29 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9990 | 87.69*** |
Persistence:
0.995
Half-life:
140 days
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