V-Lab
Liaoning SG Automotive Group Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, September 1st, 2026
1 Day
207.41
1 Week
273.86
1 Month
228.41
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 1, 2026 at 06:20 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 26, 2000 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 146% more after negative returns
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 0.59 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1356 | 2.32** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7654 | 29.89*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1980 | 3.09*** |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
1386294 days
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