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Ningxia Zhongke Biotechnology Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 18th, 2026

1 Day

15,704.60

increased by 3,904.18

1 Week

12,407.62

increased by 607.20

1 Month

11,229.19

decreased by 571.23

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 18, 2026 at 06:16 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Ningxia Zhongke Biotechnology Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 29, 1998 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 2032 trading days (~8.1 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.7662
3.83***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1984
5.90***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8013
23.84***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=6
γ1-1.3049
-1.48
γ23.9337
1.29
γ3-5.3940
-1.15
γ45.5306
1.65*
γ5-3.9927
-2.23**
γ61.3309
1.40

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

2032 days