V-Lab
Ningxia Zhongke Biotechnology Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 18th, 2026
1 Day
15,704.60
increased by 3,904.18
1 Week
12,407.62
increased by 607.20
1 Month
11,229.19
decreased by 571.23
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 18, 2026 at 06:16 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 29, 1998 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 2032 trading days (~8.1 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.7662 | 3.83*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1984 | 5.90*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8013 | 23.84*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=6
| γ1 | -1.3049 | -1.48 |
| γ2 | 3.9337 | 1.29 |
| γ3 | -5.3940 | -1.15 |
| γ4 | 5.5306 | 1.65* |
| γ5 | -3.9927 | -2.23** |
| γ6 | 1.3309 | 1.40 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
2032 days
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