V-Lab
Ningxia Zhongke Biotechnology Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 18th, 2026
1 Day
3,695.34
increased by 2,303.27
1 Week
1,772.14
increased by 380.07
1 Month
1,527.93
increased by 135.86
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 18, 2026 at 06:16 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 29, 1998 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 1.30 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1182 | 4.07*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8580 | 156.51*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0476 | 1.44 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
-
Other Ningxia Zhongke Biotechnology Co Ltd Analyses
Other Asymmetric ILLIQ Analyses on International Equities