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Ningxia Zhongke Biotechnology Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 18th, 2026
1 Day
11,294.14
1 Week
3,789.83
1 Month
2,371.83
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 18, 2026 at 06:16 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 29, 1998 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.4703 | 0.02 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6282 | 33.25*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.4703 | -0.01 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.03 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.14 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9822 | 5.72*** |
Persistence:
0.863
Half-life:
5 days
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