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V-Lab

Nihon Kogyo Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 3rd, 2026

1 Day

5,395.38

decreased by 282.85

1 Week

6,029.04

increased by 350.81

1 Month

6,414.12

increased by 735.89

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 2, 2026 at 09:05 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Nihon Kogyo Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 20, 1995 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 59 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.6983
4.12***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1016
11.46***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8866
86.38***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ10.0109
0.08
γ2-0.0090
-0.04
γ3-0.6066
-2.17**
γ41.6022
4.49***
γ5-1.6746
-6.12***
γ60.8638
4.92***
γ7-0.3448
-1.71*
γ80.5292
1.96*
γ9-0.7898
-2.59***
γ100.6644
2.00**

Persistence:

0.988

Half-life:

59 days