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Nihon Kogyo Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

2,276.18

decreased by 82.32

1 Week

2,643.10

increased by 284.60

1 Month

4,203.38

increased by 1,844.88

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 07:32 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Nihon Kogyo Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 20, 1995 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 59 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.6992
4.10***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1024
11.53***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8860
86.07***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ10.0078
0.06
γ2-0.0055
-0.02
γ3-0.6168
-2.21**
γ41.6319
4.53***
γ5-1.7032
-6.11***
γ60.8678
5.01***
γ7-0.3269
-1.69*
γ80.5006
1.90*
γ9-0.7671
-2.52**
γ100.6353
1.83*

Persistence:

0.988

Half-life:

59 days