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Nihon Kogyo Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 3rd, 2026

1 Day

6,069.23

decreased by 277.36

1 Week

6,534.05

increased by 187.46

1 Month

6,266.14

decreased by 80.45

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 2, 2026 at 09:03 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Nihon Kogyo Co Ltd ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 20, 1995 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 79% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
1.51
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0492
23.46***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9315
634.54***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0386
8.51***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-