V-Lab
Nihon Kogyo Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
2,617.55
1 Week
2,862.32
1 Month
3,900.54
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 07:32 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 20, 1995 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1382 | 0.06 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7175 | 46.32*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1382 | -0.03 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.06 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0718 | 0.06 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9282 | 17.60*** |
Persistence:
0.787
Half-life:
3 days
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