V-Lab
Jetbest Corp Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, August 20th, 2026
1 Day
8,732.45
increased by 5,667.66
1 Week
4,674.56
increased by 1,609.77
1 Month
2,995.30
decreased by 69.49
Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 20, 2026 at 08:30 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 4, 2010 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 17 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.8390 | 1.37 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2556 | 10.07*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7039 | 27.64*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=5
| γ1 | -1.1198 | -6.75*** |
| γ2 | 1.8922 | 13.47*** |
| γ3 | -1.0197 | -5.34*** |
| γ4 | 0.2782 | 1.46 |
| γ5 | -0.3060 | -1.31 |
Persistence:
0.960
Half-life:
17 days
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