V-Lab
Jetbest Corp Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, August 20th, 2026
1 Day
3,567.37
increased by 791.43
1 Week
2,941.33
increased by 165.39
1 Month
2,621.47
decreased by 154.47
Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 20, 2026 at 08:30 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 4, 2010 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 3.4092 | 0.10 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0028 | 1.23 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9822 | 332.48*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0301 | 1.67* |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
1386294 days
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