V-Lab
Jetbest Corp ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, August 20th, 2026
1 Day
10,624.91
1 Week
6,090.13
1 Month
4,144.70
Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 20, 2026 at 08:30 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 4, 2010 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2889 | 0.82 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7145 | 35.54*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.2889 | -0.40 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 1.3293 | 0.19 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0140 | 0.95 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9845 | 194.83*** |
Persistence:
0.859
Half-life:
5 days
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