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V-Lab

Kyoshin Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026

1 Day

3,817.08

decreased by 401.66

1 Week

4,508.93

increased by 290.19

1 Month

9,401.97

increased by 5,183.23

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 07:25 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Kyoshin Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 1, 1999 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 41 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.6532
2.52**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1644
12.36***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8190
65.17***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ1-1.2506
-4.39***
γ22.2908
6.16***
γ3-1.5943
-6.26***
γ40.2519
0.90
γ50.8182
3.26***
γ6-1.0452
-5.40***
γ71.1101
6.46***
γ8-0.7477
-4.14***
γ90.0864
0.53
γ100.1567
0.64

Persistence:

0.983

Half-life:

41 days