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Kyoshin Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026

1 Day

4,873.39

decreased by 469.87

1 Week

5,625.14

increased by 281.88

1 Month

10,219.28

increased by 4,876.02

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 07:25 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Kyoshin Co Ltd ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 1, 1999 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 97% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
2.80***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0598
17.71***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9111
315.38***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0582
10.02***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-