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V-Lab

Yrglm Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, July 31st, 2026

1 Day

4,174.25

increased by 92.65

1 Week

3,890.25

decreased by 191.35

1 Month

4,763.81

increased by 682.21

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 31, 2026 at 07:25 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Yrglm Inc ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 17, 2014 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 43 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.9775
8.34***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1516
8.84***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8322
66.32***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0168
3.03***

Persistence:

0.984

Half-life:

43 days