V-Lab
Yrglm Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, July 31st, 2026
1 Day
3,904.02
1 Week
3,648.23
1 Month
4,467.62
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 31, 2026 at 07:25 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 17, 2014 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 9 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 9 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1489 | 0.42 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8494 | 95.55*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1489 | -0.24 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 1.9916 | 0.67 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9763 | 31.09*** |
Persistence:
0.924
Half-life:
9 days
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