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Zhongyu Energy Holdings Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

4,883.87

decreased by 746.91

1 Week

3,171.67

decreased by 2,459.11

1 Month

2,446.57

decreased by 3,184.21

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 08:21 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Zhongyu Energy Holdings Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 11, 2012 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 9 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.7218
3.90***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1516
5.58***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7735
20.42***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=9
γ11.3669
3.16***
γ2-0.7166
-0.99
γ3-3.6115
-5.99***
γ45.5241
12.45***
γ5-3.2244
-10.10***
γ60.8015
2.71***
γ7-0.1630
-0.54
γ80.0306
0.09
γ9-0.2150
-0.43

Persistence:

0.925

Half-life:

9 days