V-Lab
Zhongyu Energy Holdings Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
4,883.87
decreased by 746.91
1 Week
3,171.67
decreased by 2,459.11
1 Month
2,446.57
decreased by 3,184.21
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 08:21 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 11, 2012 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 9 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.7218 | 3.90*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1516 | 5.58*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7735 | 20.42*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=9
| γ1 | 1.3669 | 3.16*** |
| γ2 | -0.7166 | -0.99 |
| γ3 | -3.6115 | -5.99*** |
| γ4 | 5.5241 | 12.45*** |
| γ5 | -3.2244 | -10.10*** |
| γ6 | 0.8015 | 2.71*** |
| γ7 | -0.1630 | -0.54 |
| γ8 | 0.0306 | 0.09 |
| γ9 | -0.2150 | -0.43 |
Persistence:
0.925
Half-life:
9 days
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