Skip to main content
V-Lab

Zhongyu Energy Holdings Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

4,530.05

decreased by 181.68

1 Week

3,235.05

decreased by 1,476.68

1 Month

2,640.04

decreased by 2,071.69

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 08:21 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Zhongyu Energy Holdings Ltd ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 11, 2012 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 37% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
2.46**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0688
10.97***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9186
362.80***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0251
2.39**

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

1386294 days