V-Lab
Zhongyu Energy Holdings Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
5,798.42
1 Week
3,822.33
1 Month
2,681.39
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 08:21 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 11, 2012 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1799 | 0.50 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6218 | 10.37*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1302 | -0.17 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 8.9021 | 0.93 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.1332 | 0.67 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.8668 | 8.60*** |
Persistence:
0.737
Half-life:
2 days
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