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Loive Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, September 29th, 2026

1 Day

7,288.32

increased by 1.43

1 Week

7,283.70

decreased by 3.19

1 Month

7,168.89

decreased by 118.00

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 29, 2026 at 07:38 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/28/2024

to

09/28/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Loive Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 24, 2025 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 60 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.8580
4.54***
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.9886
37.17***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=2
γ16.6254
7.80***
γ2-9.8793
-6.04***

0.989

Persistence

60d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.8580
4.54***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9886
37.17***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=2
γ16.6254
7.80***
γ2-9.8793
-6.04***

Persistence:

0.989

Half-life:

60 days