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Loive Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

11,960.95

increased by 1.87

1 Week

11,654.98

decreased by 304.10

1 Month

10,021.55

decreased by 1,937.53

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 10:10 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Loive Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 24, 2025 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 30136 trading days (~119.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.9475
0.42
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

1.0000
1.46
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ11.0907
0.02

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

30136 days