V-Lab
Loive Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
6,626.92
increased by 146.54
1 Week
6,948.05
increased by 467.67
1 Month
8,532.45
increased by 2,052.07
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 10:09 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 24, 2025 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 693147 trading days (~2750.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 2.70*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1180 | 7.68*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9035 | 71.83*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0429 | -2.83*** |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
693147 days
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