V-Lab
Cominix Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, July 23rd, 2026
1 Day
5,602.34
increased by 2,455.62
1 Week
3,823.12
increased by 676.40
1 Month
2,480.19
decreased by 666.53
Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 23, 2026 at 07:28 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 9, 2012 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 99021 trading days (~392.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.7687 | 5.83*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1232 | 0.23 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8768 | 1.61 |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0863 | -0.11 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
99021 days
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