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Cominix Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, July 23rd, 2026

1 Day

4,533.98

increased by 1,227.20

1 Week

3,739.00

increased by 432.22

1 Month

2,442.38

decreased by 864.40

Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 23, 2026 at 07:28 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Cominix Co Ltd ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 9, 2012 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 116% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
3.41***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0685
14.31***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8918
355.73***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0794
4.87***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-