V-Lab
Cominix Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, July 23rd, 2026
1 Day
6,124.39
1 Week
4,107.56
1 Month
2,587.60
Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 23, 2026 at 07:29 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 9, 2012 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 31 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1373 | 0.27 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7997 | 16.65*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1373 | -0.13 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.65 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.1655 | 1.02 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.8272 | 1.86* |
Persistence:
0.868
Half-life:
5 days
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