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V-Lab

Sirio Pharma Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 21st, 2026

1 Day

310.58

increased by 14.68

1 Week

270.31

decreased by 25.59

1 Month

413.70

increased by 117.80

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 06:32 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Sirio Pharma Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 25, 2019 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 6 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.7514
8.01***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2227
7.18***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6602
17.50***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0630
-3.72***

Persistence:

0.883

Half-life:

6 days