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Sirio Pharma Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, November 9th, 2026

1 Day

526.92

increased by 160.22

1 Week

400.28

increased by 33.58

1 Month

386.46

increased by 19.76

Analysis last updated: Saturday, November 7, 2026 at 08:45 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/06/2024

to

11/06/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Sirio Pharma Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 25, 2019 to Nov 6, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 7 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.8293
7.59***
αARCH0.2257
7.72***
βGARCH0.6751
19.14***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0524
-3.01***

0.901

Persistence

7d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.8293
7.59***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2257
7.72***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6751
19.14***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0524
-3.01***

Persistence:

0.901

Half-life:

7 days