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V-Lab

Sirio Pharma Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, July 31st, 2026

1 Day

492.76

decreased by 211.56

1 Week

659.31

decreased by 45.01

1 Month

488.61

decreased by 215.71

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 31, 2026 at 06:28 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Sirio Pharma Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 25, 2019 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 5 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.7476
8.10***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2230
7.05***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6565
17.13***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0636
-3.78***

Persistence:

0.879

Half-life:

5 days