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Sirio Pharma Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, September 10th, 2026

1 Day

246.01

increased by 46.48

1 Week

222.20

increased by 22.67

1 Month

276.57

increased by 77.04

Analysis last updated: Thursday, September 10, 2026 at 06:46 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Sirio Pharma Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 25, 2019 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 6 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.7654
7.97***
αARCH0.2222
7.28***
βGARCH0.6636
17.83***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0611
-3.62***

0.886

Persistence

6d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.7654
7.97***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2222
7.28***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6636
17.83***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0611
-3.62***

Persistence:

0.886

Half-life:

6 days