V-Lab
Sirio Pharma Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 21st, 2026
1 Day
310.58
increased by 14.68
1 Week
270.31
decreased by 25.59
1 Month
413.70
increased by 117.80
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 06:32 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 25, 2019 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 6 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.7514 | 8.01*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2227 | 7.18*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6602 | 17.50*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0630 | -3.72*** |
Persistence:
0.883
Half-life:
6 days
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