Sirio Pharma Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, November 9th, 2026
1 Day
587.44
increased by 179.27
1 Week
492.58
increased by 84.41
1 Month
487.48
increased by 79.31
Analysis last updated: Saturday, November 7, 2026 at 08:44 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 25, 2019 to Nov 6, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows asymmetric liquidity dynamics: illiquidity rises 280% more after negative returns than after positive returns of equal magnitude.
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
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Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 280% more after negative returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 5.0000 | 1.89* |
| αARCH | 0.0532 | 2.39** |
| βGARCH | 0.8537 | 51.84*** |
| γleverage | 0.1487 | 3.27*** |
0.981
Persistence37d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 1.89* |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0532 | 2.39** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8537 | 51.84*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1487 | 3.27*** |
Persistence:
0.981
Half-life:
37 days
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