Sirio Pharma Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, October 20th, 2026
1 Day
403.90
decreased by 35.42
1 Week
449.39
increased by 10.07
1 Month
448.53
increased by 9.21
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, October 20, 2026 at 06:31 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 25, 2019 to Oct 16, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows asymmetric liquidity dynamics: illiquidity rises 281% more after negative returns than after positive returns of equal magnitude.
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
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Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 281% more after negative returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 5.0000 | 1.88* |
| αARCH | 0.0533 | 2.38** |
| βGARCH | 0.8529 | 51.40*** |
| γleverage | 0.1498 | 3.27*** |
0.981
Persistence36d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 1.88* |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0533 | 2.38** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8529 | 51.40*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1498 | 3.27*** |
Persistence:
0.981
Half-life:
36 days
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