V-Lab
Sirio Pharma Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, July 31st, 2026
1 Day
665.21
1 Week
726.10
1 Month
610.53
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 31, 2026 at 06:28 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 25, 2019 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 46 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1067 | 1.73* |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8402 | 91.09*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1067 | -0.91 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 2.20** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.9174 | 2.24** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0445 | 0.59 |
Persistence:
0.894
Half-life:
6 days
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