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V-Lab

Choei Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 3rd, 2026

1 Day

7,677.04

increased by 1,458.04

1 Week

6,602.38

increased by 383.38

1 Month

6,624.41

increased by 405.41

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 2, 2026 at 06:54 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Choei Inc ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 24, 2021 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 12 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.9047
6.89***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0664
4.03***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8789
24.28***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0668
1.45

Persistence:

0.945

Half-life:

12 days