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V-Lab

Choei Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, August 27th, 2026

1 Day

6,971.72

increased by 10.75

1 Week

5,927.80

decreased by 1,033.17

1 Month

6,224.35

decreased by 736.62

Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 27, 2026 at 07:35 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Choei Inc ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 24, 2021 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 12 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.8826
6.89***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0663
4.04***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8780
23.92***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0479
1.07

Persistence:

0.944

Half-life:

12 days