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V-Lab

Choei Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 3rd, 2026

1 Day

6,069.95

increased by 991.92

1 Week

5,380.63

increased by 302.60

1 Month

5,492.65

increased by 414.62

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 2, 2026 at 06:54 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Choei Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 24, 2021 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 323 trading days (~1.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0462
21.41***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9560
397.82***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0086
-5.66***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

2,358.9090

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

323 days