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V-Lab

Choei Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, August 27th, 2026

1 Day

5,462.67

increased by 47.92

1 Week

4,789.42

decreased by 625.33

1 Month

5,255.55

decreased by 159.20

Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 27, 2026 at 07:35 PM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

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graph of Choei Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 24, 2021 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.997, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 256 trading days (~1.0 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0460
21.01***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9551
385.74***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0076
-4.99***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

2,362.2001

Persistence:

0.997

Half-life:

256 days