V-Lab
Yamaichi Real Estate Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
4,151.10
decreased by 1,011.54
1 Week
4,223.18
decreased by 939.46
1 Month
3,280.75
decreased by 1,881.89
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 02:41 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 20, 2022 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 8 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.4019 | 7.32*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2035 | 4.45*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7176 | 13.26*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=2
| γ1 | -0.6007 | -3.88*** |
| γ2 | 1.4404 | 4.53*** |
Persistence:
0.921
Half-life:
8 days
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